The Iran news is more guarded and tactical. As normal readers may know,
GHD Pink Limited Edition, I supported such talks until the June 12 co-optation debacle,
GHD Pure, which ought have heaved the stakes for the Iranians–they needed to show some sign that they were serious and not just farsing around. There is not indication that Iranians have, but the Administration has worked along anyhow. There are 2 possible upsides to this strategy: we might actually make some progress–and we might not, thereby demonstrating to the other P5+1 members (Russia, China,
GHD Pretty in Pink, Britain, France and Germany) that the Iranians are intransigent and deserving of the same united front on sanctions that seems to have worked with the North Koreans. There are two downsides as well–that these talks ambition be reason for the Iranians to dither on the nuclear front and that they ambition confer international legitimacy on a brutal regime that seems to be beyond tightening the screws on the opposition.
…everywhere, to everyone, it seems–to Iran, in the environment of the P5+1 talks, and to North Korea, outdoor the environment of the six party talks.Let’s take North Korea first. I suspect this is the peak of an iceberg that–to torment a metaphor–began to thaw with Bill Clinton’s visit to Pyongyang over the summer. Actually, it may have began melting earlier, while the Russians and Chinese supported a stronger sanctions regimen afterward the Nokos started testing missiles final Spring. That unity, plus the improved health of Kim Jong Il, made it either likely and required because the North Koreans to climb down from their craziness. The fact namely we have agreed to bilateral talks, after receiving the agreement of the other 6-party members (China,
Monster Turbine Copper Profe, Russia, South Korea and Japan), would indicate namely a discovery may not be too far away. This namely peerless newspaper.
I still have my doubts about the way the Administration is taking, but–as a general rule–talking is far better than not talking. Let’s wish it works.
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