Forrester Research is advising its customers against skipping Windows Vista when preparing their working program deployments. But one of the factors Forrester is utilizing — because Vista;s successor,
Windows 7, will no doubt will be late — is not a good assumption, in my book.As crazy as this sounds, I don;t think I;d count on
Windows 7 being late — even though Microsoft;s track record for on-time Windows deliveries is abysmal. The primary reason: Steven Sinofsky. Sinofsky is the head of Windows and Windows Live Engineering. He used to run Office development. 1 of Sinofsky;s biggest claims to fame is producing the trains run on time.Couple Sinofsky;s track record using the fact that
Windows 7 will likely be a minor upgrade to Vista, plus the fact that the Softies gave themselves quite a bit of extra breathing room along with the 2010 due date, and I;d say it;s more likely
Windows 7 will ship early than late.Forrester;s guidance was part of a pair of Vista-related studies the market-research outfit released on April 16. (Neither of these was based on a survey of a set group of people; both were “anecdotal, based on discussions Forrester has had with its customers about their plans,” a company representative noted.)In “Lessons Learned From Early Adopters Of Windows Vista: How Businesses Can Overcome The Most Common Migration Challenges,” Forrester Researcher Benjamin Gray offers business users a checklist to help with Vista migrations. On the shortlist are a number of common-sense tips, including “Tie the OS upgrade to your natural PC refresh cycle to ensure hardware compatibility” and “Stay on top of your independent software vendors to ensure application compatibility.”In the other report, “Building The Business Case For Windows Vista: Five Reasons to Start Your Migration Soon,” Gray advises business users towards waiting for
Windows 7 and expecting to jump from an older Windows release directly to
Windows 7, which Microsoft has said it will ship in 2010.Forrester claims that “for large businesses, there’s no viable alternative” to moving to Vista. “According to our latest hardware survey, Microsoft running systems are powering 99% of North American and European enterprise PCs and 97% of small to medium-size business (SMB) PCs,” Gray said. Gray decribed Mac OSX and Linux as alternatives for specific niches only.Gray said the availability of Vista SP1,
Windows 7 Pro Key, plus Microsoft;s decision to phase out XP on the bulk of new PCs, as of July one,
Office 2007 Enterprise, also were good factors companies should plan on moing to Vista.
Windows 7 is largely an unknown,
Microsoft Office 2010 Product Key, at this point, Gray argued:“To be blunt, shoppers know very little about
Windows 7. Besides when it’s slated to become available,
Buy Office 2010, they know that it’s going to be a full release. Meaning? It’s going to have a business version and a consumer version — and knowing Microsoft, multiple versions of each. It’s also going to support both 32- and 64-bit computing. Beyond these tidbits, everything else is pure rumor and speculation. But it’s important to keep in mind that Microsoft doesn’t exactly have a clean track record for delivering products on time. It also tends to strip out promised features in order to hit deadlines (e.g.,
Office Professional Plus 2010, WinFS from Windows Vista). Ironically, one of Microsoft’s biggest weaknesses — the unpredictable release schedule of its desktop operating systems — will likely spur adoption of Windows Vista as a result of this lack of faith in Microsoft delivering
Windows 7 on time.”There;s no question that most potential customers have next-to-no real information on
Windows 7. But do you agree with Forrester that the devil you know (Vista) is better than the 1 you don;t (
Windows 7)?