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for the possible inflation, so there will be about control and prevention in several ways, first, monetary tightening (economics, inflation is a monetary phenomenon); the second is to raise interest rates, increase the use of money costs, is synonymous with the tightening of monetary, but in different ways; third is to improve the currency to reduce inflation, the input may be; Fourth, increase supply, the amount of dilution of the quantity of money supply, excess production capacity with a not so beloved rose.
Usually these types of currency adjustment will reduce the investment to prevent overheating and increase the use of funds will decrease the investment cost of the impulse, and increased supply is the total supply and total demand from the perspective of inhibition of the price changes.
but China after the financial crisis in this round of stimulus to rapid economic recovery, is also appeared in inflation expectations, neither the total money supply by reducing stimulus appropriate way to get out, do not worry about the overall much macroeconomic impact, especially when the export economy in the world, especially in the absence of not raising interest rates, the individual first to raise interest rates. Also strongly urge the United States and around the world did not dare let the yuan appreciation in a reasonable appreciation, but in the real estate special land scarcity, the strict increase the supply of eighteen million acres of letting the red line has become impossible.
So most representative in China, rising asset prices, rising real estate prices, the management of inflation on the only other reasonable means of market economy have no ability to use, with non-market policies on individual differences in discrimination against a single industry and consumer give the most severe blow to the market.
As China is entering the accelerated urbanization of the population of the special structure allows the family to split into accelerating the speed of the central to local governments into urban infrastructure construction and the accelerator, the competition between cities and regions into the population, industry and accelerate the plunder of wealth, the dependence on land resources and the contradiction between resources and population input, so that the core of the city's housing prices rose too fast there, but also to society and to prosper love him no choice in the selection of the like towns, cities, large cities, the core of urban concentration, to find employment,coach totes, learning, wealth, opportunities for sharing of public financial subsidies. Particularly health, education, finance, culture, sports and other high quality resources are concentrated in specific cities and environment, so that people in the sharing of such resources in the formation of intense competition, but also to live the right to housing wealth into the competition, so that a large number of rich people in the hierarchical classification of sub-sub-conditions to break the residence of the gradual increase in the consumption of material and spiritual quest to upgrade. As has been enjoying the old method of welfare housing for the elderly and housing reform in the new approach the transition in the market in the new generation of conflicts of interest,I also have a few do not know the answer, prices have become the characteristics of the social controversy. Some people already have homes in the family in the hope of appreciation in property in the wealth-sharing benefits; another part of the initial investment is increasing, and the income gap widening challenge facing the market,louis vuitton coin pouch, fluctuations in house prices continuous rise in protest, but no one dared to express dissatisfaction with the government proceeds from the land. This suspicion of the market turned to the attack on the developers, house prices will rise as a political issue into a livelihood, has evolved into the government in the accountability of market regulation.
So Ye Tan with reduce inflationary pressure, can delay raising interest rates conflicts can be resolved appreciation of the renminbi.
But Professor Zhou Qiren
that the increase in monetary aggregates all the problems facing China's economy when the Niu Bizi, and price bracket are just carrying a lame act. Lift bracket may allow beef goes slowly some, but not necessarily the right path makes cattle, regardless of whether today's prices under the weight has changed, not fundamentally solve the problems of China's economy, but also growth of monetary aggregates can not change the transition to the negative impact on the economy.
the Chinese government is not willing to let foreign countries under the pressure of RMB appreciation, but it does not mean that the RMB should not appreciate. Similarly,kanye west shoes louis vuitton, prices in the midst of Ten years ago in the processing technology and no change in price and volume of products under the tofu only about 0.12 yuan / kg, but today turned into a 1.80 yuan / kg or more, such examples everywhere, this is also reflected is a monetary phenomenon.
hard to raise prices when China this bracket, the tax at using a personal certificate and proof of insurance means the population of non-urban household registration restrictions, but not to the process of wealth in the consumption tax phenomenon. There is no evidence of wage income tax is not equal to the local consumption tax does not act, no doubt for those who wish to settle the farmers into the city is outside the limits in the household has added many restrictions into the town. Then the Constitution gives citizens the power to live and what the powers of movement to protect. Off-site work but pay taxes and insurance are paid in the country of origin, they can not purchase but can only rent it? Real estate companies have a large number of development activities in different places, most of a project to 5-7 years or more to complete the work with the remote housing subsidies to buy housing to improve living conditions and arrangements for the elderly to live together this is the most economical way of life way, will greatly reduce the cost of living; around the insurance companies, banks also have headquarters stationed in remote management of cadres and the situation, but shall not participate in purchase activities, which is no doubt that economic growth and the flow of talent is also a limit, kinds of policies will lead to other consequences of a series of contradictions, but also allow the government had carried out a bracket can not solve the problem, they go to lift another one bracket, and let this cycle recur.
problem is that house prices downwards if,Dynamic psychology, after the bottom line? Many U.S. financial crisis, prices from $ 235,000 / sets down to $ 190,000 / sets, declined by about 20% greater reduction in individual cities and regions more than about 35%, but in many cities down only 5 -10%. The beginning of the decline in the proportion of China's 2008-2009 national level only dropped by less than about 20% (1.5% in 2009, Bureau of rise in year on year decline in the minus part of the deal, because the recovery of growth to return to Based on the original price), compared with the decline in sales in 2007 are 20% more.
but everyone knows that U.S. housing prices and sales decline in the impact on the economy, the same year 2008-2009, the Chinese know the price of the real estate market volatility and a decline in sales on the Chinese economy. So the bottom line of this decline is it? China's economy is still down for the cost? To the rescue again to re-do?
media and society can not recognize the real estate in China's economic position in the pillar industries, can also wished for the developers out of the market, falling house prices have wished for more, starving to death all the investors and speculators. Yes, this really is for those who complain that they are vent a lot of populist one thing, but the vent after what would be the result? Not allow more housing has been using loans to buy more housing for the people happy, do not let those prices are too high and hated teeth from a group of people that can not afford housing, happy. Because of the economic slowdown in China and increased unemployment, these can not afford today, and in the lower house of people will be more problems in life, not only can not afford housing are also due to the loss of affordable housing in the country to establish their ability to live in affordable housing is not on . When the stock falls, those investors to buy these cheap stocks? When house prices fall at the end point of the 2008-2009 year, someone would be poured into the market? Those Most people are worried about housing prices continue to fall, but still afraid to enter the market.
non-government intervention in the normal economic operation conditions, no country's macroeconomic maintain high growth or normal growth in house prices is not growing. But there is no national real estate market because of government policy, regardless of cause or other reasons, in the fall and severe fall in the country's macroeconomic trends remain up. Even the U.S. This high rate of urbanization, steady growth of real estate in this country, let alone is in a period of accelerated urbanization in China. There who would dare to try in this way the people of wealth, economic losses and loss risk?
Many people believe that you can use administrative means to carry the bracket and is not subject to financial penalties and retaliation, but the economic laws are often not with the people's will. Economists for his theory is correct to bet, but the state of the managers but they can not use the risk of losing power, with the economy operating results to gambling. University of Western Sydney economist 史蒂夫基恩 15th to Australia from the highest peak in Canberra Branch up to 225 km off Nova walking, because of his interest rate analyst with Macquarie Bank failed bet commitment.
2008 年 9 for Financial crisis, 史蒂夫基恩 that Australian house prices will fall 40%, but in 2008 the Australian house prices fell only 5.5%, but then in 2009, within 12 months rose by 13%, Melbourne and other cities rose by 20%, while about 2% of Australia's population growth as the main driving force to promote the housing prices. While this is not urbanization but rather the result of immigration policy, but the needs of urbanization in China is far greater than Australia's immigration policy.
Although the Executive Order-style intervention in the short term will limit the effective part of the pace of urbanization,louis vuitton kanye west, it can not simply stop the trend of urbanization in China, which eventually will form a similar outcome in Australia.
I do not think housing prices is a good thing, many people think I'm bragging about the benefits of high prices is to the interests of developers, developers do not know the best interests of the expected long-term stability and sustainable development,womens asics gel kayano Married to marry a Wolf, Developers do not want to skyrocketing housing prices, do not want to face the always unpredictable short-term control measures of administrative intervention. Hope and protection of the market separately, and with market interest rates and increase the supply to control prices, reduce the money supply to use to prevent inflation expectations. Because any administrative means they can not change the needs of desire, unable to meet the housing needs of the release of the final state must be to improve the living quality of life, rather than using force to suppress this desire to upgrade.
Is the goal of China
halfway off it? Is a well-off standard of 35 square meters per person is intimidated by the difficulties of the current return it? Is China's living conditions and standards for the subject to the rise in house prices can never increase it? Is China's urbanization in the two reports just announced will die within two months of finished it?
regulation of real estate since 2003, has been the focus of various conflicts, has been focusing on China's economic growth, core inflation and prevent overheating. Perhaps this is the choice of a helpless, and the basis for this choice is the Chinese people will be less, the scarcity of land resources, the pseudo-proposition. The existing land system limits the homestead, the circulation of agricultural land in the replacement,christian louboutin shoes for men, the concept of class struggle in the sense of limiting non-arable land into land for construction of villa-style development; food security strategic concept for self-sufficiency in food production remain in the non-trade conditions; tax system, rigid to land finance has become a local government's golden rice bowl; to prevent corruption and monopoly on land supply under the conditions of bidding, auction and to the local government to get rich opportunity to ... ... all of these systems and system reform lags behind for security system the establishment and development of market-oriented hybrid of the gruel, not a strategic sort out the political, livelihood, housing rights and the basic concepts of wealth would never dwell on the tactical and technical level of the debate, every argument is to house prices rising again in the end, so he began a heavy blow to the next round even more, become a multiple entry visa for regular.
I hope this community and the management failures will learn something, do not grasp the endless maze of dodge and let their own can not find way home.